How to Get Rich (without getting lucky):
— Naval (@naval) May 31, 2018
1/ One reason we can't have nice investment strategies–a thread.
The brightest people I have met share a superpower that would serve investors well—the ability to make inherently complex things simple and understandable. And yet, most humans naturally equate complexity
— Jim O'Shaughnessy (@jposhaughnessy) March 15, 2019
What are the big successes for the “marketplace of ideas” model?
ie, cases in which public consensus changed mainly due to *good arguments* rather than other causes (like older generations dying out, propaganda, economics)
– Gay rights
– Legal marijuana
— Julia Galef (@juliagalef) March 14, 2019
1/ Last week, I taught my undergrads about logit models.
Though logits are fundamental to many modern statistical techniques, where did it come from? We discussed that yesterday.
Turns out, like the 0.05 p-value, it's pretty arbitrary.
👇is a summary
— Paul Poast (@ProfPaulPoast) March 12, 2019
Thread: It's probably silly to do a CRAZY LONG tweet storm about being named a non-resident fellow @CGDev. But I feel really touched. CGD has been a special place for me for a good part of my professional life. 1/ https://t.co/dqwoB5lAO2
— Dan Honig (@rambletastic) March 21, 2019